Maharashtra, Mumbai, Pune Coronavirus news Live Updates: With Maharashtra reporting 13,165 COVID-19 cases on Wednesday, the total number of infections in the state rose to 6,28,642, while 346 fresh deaths pushed the toll beyond the 21,000-mark. Also, the discharge of 9,011 patients on the same day took the tally of recovered coronavirus patients to 4,46,881. At present, there are 1,60,413 active cases in the state, and as many as 33,37, 848 people have been tested so far.
In Mumbai, 1,132 new cases and 46 deaths took the tally to 1,31,542 and the toll to 7,268. Mumbai has 17,914 active cases as of now. Pune, on the other hand, reported 1,233 fresh cases along with 38 deaths, taking the tally to 82,907 and the toll to 2,169.
A new modelling study has predicted that with the current level of relaxation, the peak load on critical healthcare (people requiring oxygen support, ICU, ventilators etc) will be sustained until October-end in Pune. Also, after the recent sero-survey in Pune revealed that nearly 50 per cent of samples of local residents from five high-incidence areas had antibodies for coronavirus infection, the Indian Institutes of Science Education and Research (IISER)-led survey has now begun a study to detect ‘neutralising antibodies’ in an effort to understand the human body’s response to the virus. This will possibly be the first of its kind survey in the country.
Meanwhile, coming to the overall situation across the country, over 28 lakh cases and nearly 54,000 deaths have been reported so far. Six months after the outbreak of the novel coronavirus epidemic, several indicators have begun to suggest that an improvement in the situation might just be round the corner in India. For the first time since May, the overall positivity rate in the country has begun to decline. Which means, for the same number of tests, fewer people are now being found infected with the virus.
Maharashtra, Mumbai, Pune Coronavirus Live Updates: Malls in Pune have opened with precautions.
Maharashtra, Mumbai, Pune Coronavirus Live Updates:
As Pune enters a crucial stage of the pandemic, additional preparation will be needed as the critical case load coming in from outside PMC areas rises during these months. Tata Consultancy Services Research (TRDCC), Pune, in collaboration with Prayas (health group), has developed a fine grained model and their analysis indicates that a significant number of people from Pune are still susceptible to the infection.
“We have developed this model for Pune Municipal Corporation jurisdiction. The primary objective was to have a tool that provides Pune specific insights about appropriate interventions as the epidemic unfolds in the city. Ward-level analysis was done to arrive at the city-level picture. It considered all administrative decisions related to lockdown and reopening until August 5,” Dr Ritu Parchure, senior researcher with Prayas health group, told The Indian Express.
Researchers said that by mid-August, in some wards with crowded dense localities, around 35-40 per cent people were likely to have had the infection already. In some wards (eg Kothrud, Warje, Aundh), this proportion is likely to be as low as 15 per cent. Majority of the infections are seen to occur through household contacts. Along with that, longer interactions in enclosed and crowded places is likely to increase transmission risk (places such as banks, offices, factories, eateries among others).
Among the public health measures, universal use of masks and testing and isolation effectively slow down the epidemic. If 80 per cent people used masks, there was reduction in hospital load by upto 25 per cent during peak months. This proportion was 10 per cent if current testing rates were doubled, according to the study. Strategies like intermittent lockdowns have limited efficacy, researchers including Dr Vinay Kulkarni and Dr Shirish Dharak, pointed out.