Data showed that Mumbai’s current contribution to the state’s overall active cases has dropped to 20%. It was 38% till June end, and as high as 60% in May. Thane’s contribution, on the other hand, is now 32% Pune’s is 22%.
Mumbai’s active cases fall but rise in MMR sees graph soar in state
Active cases’ is an important metric as it helps understand disease progression as well as burden on health infrastructure. Interestingly, the Covid-19 trajectory for Maharashtra that has run parallelly with Mumbai is now witnessing a reversal. While Mumbai has been witnessing a steady fall in active cases since the start of July, Maharashtra’s active case graph has been climbing. The large number of cases from Mumbai Metropolitan Region, most of which is under Thane district, and Pune have brought about the change, officials said. In addition, cases in big numbers are being reported from Solapur and Jalgaon.
According to data from the Union health ministry, there are 10 states that contributed 86% of active cases in the country and two states—Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu—accounted for 50%. “Thane and Pune are detecting cases in big numbers so a bulk of patients would be under treatment. Pune has been seeing massive detections from areas outside city (Haveli block) as well as Pimpri Chinchwad. Once cases stabilise, we see recovery rates going up,” said Dr Pradeep Awate, the state’s surveillance officer. He added active caseload is a dynamic number and depends on recovery figures. “We have issues with timely updation of recovery stats too. That could also be adding to active cases,” he said.
In Mumbai, 7 of the 14 days of July have seen more discharges than daily new cases being added. According to AMC Suresh Kakani, faster recovery among patients has contributed to the fall in active cases. “Initially patients used to be discharged after 14 days, which was brought down to 10 and now we see mild patients recovering by 6-7 days and going home,” he said, adding that with treatment protocols being streamlined, hospitals have more beds to spare. A state official said a large number of cases are being added due to increased testing.