Cyclone Nisarga is headed towards the coastline of Maharashtra and Gujarat. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday warned that the storm surge of about 1-2 meters height above astronomical tide is very likely to inundate low lying areas of Mumbai, Thane and Raigad districts.
“For now it is 490 km away from Mumbai, but when Cyclone Nisarga will cross Mumbai there are chances of very heavy rainfall. We have issued a red alert for Mumbai as extremely heavy rain is expected at isolated places in Mumbai,Thane, Palghar, Raigad, Nasik, Nandurbar and Dhule on June 3,”Shubhangi Bhute, scientist, IMD Mumbai, informed Mirror Online.
IMD stated that it is very likely to intensify into a Cyclonic Storm ‘Nisarga’ during next 12 hours and further into a Severe Cyclonic Storm during subsequent 12 hours. It is very likely to move nearly northwards during next six hours and recurve north-northeastwards thereafter and cross north Maharashtra and adjoining south Gujarat coast between Harihareshwar (Raigad, Maharashtra) and Daman during the afternoon of June 3.
The weather bureau said that Nisarga currently lies as a depression 490 km from Mumbai, 280 km from Panjim and 710 km from Surat district in Gujarat. “The depression over Eastcentral Arabian Sea moved northwards with a speed of 11 kmph during past six hours intensified into a deep depression and lay centred at 5:30 am today, over Eastcentral Arabian Sea near latitude 15.0°N and longitude 71.2°E about 280 km west-southwest of Panjim (Goa), 490 km south-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra) and 710 km south-southwest of Surat (Gujarat),” IMD said.
It is also predicted that the storm surge of about 0.5-1 meter height above the astronomical tide is likely to inundate low lying areas of Ratnagiri district during the time of landfall.
The IMD said there could be extensive damage to thatched huts, roof tops may blow off, unattached metal sheets may fly, minor damage to power and communication lines, major damage to kutcha and some damage to pucca roads. Flooding of escape routes, breaking of tree branches, uprooting of large avenue trees, damage to banana and papaya trees, large dead limbs blown from trees, major damage to coastal crops and damage to embankments/ salt pans.
IMD further stated that squally wind, speed reaching 55-65 kmph gusting to 75 kmph, is prevailing over Eastcentral Arabian Sea. It will gradually increase becoming gale wind, speed reaching 60-70 kmph gusting to 80 kmph, over eastcentral Arabian Sea off south Maharashtra and Goa coasts during next six hours and further becoming 100-110 kmph gusting to 120 kmph over eastcentral and adjoining northeast Arabian Sea along and off Maharashtra (Raigad, Mumbai, Palghar, Thane) coast from June 3 morning. Gale wind, speed reaching 80-90 kmph gusting to 100 kmph, likely along and off Valsad, Navsari districts of Gujarat, Daman, Ratnagiri, Sindhudurg districts of Maharashtra and 70-80 kmph gusting to 90 kmph along and off Surat and Bharuch districts of south Gujarat, Dadra and Nagar Haveli from the afternoon of June 3.
Light to moderate rainfall is predicted at most places with heavy to very heavy falls at isolated places very likely over Konkan and Goa, Coastal and North Interior Karnataka, Madhya Maharashtra and Marathwada during the next 24 hours.
Light to moderate rainfall is expected at most places with heavy to very heavy rain at a few places and extremely heavy falls at isolated places very likely over north Konkan, north Madhya Maharashtra and south Gujarat region, Daman, Dadra and Nagar Haveli, Marathwada, southwest Madhya Pradesh and west Vidarbha on June 3.
Light to moderate rainfall at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy falls very likely over Konkan and Goa, North Madhya Maharashtra, south Gujarat region and West Madhya Pradesh on June 4.
Fishermen Warning and Action Suggested:
Fishermen are advised not to venture into Eastcentral and Northeast Arabian Sea and along and off Karnataka-Goa-Maharashtra-south Gujarat coasts till June 3.
Total suspension of fishing operations.
Mobilise evacuation from low lying areas.
Judicious regulation of rail and road traffic.
People in affected areas to remain indoors.
Movement in motor boats and small ships unsafe
In the wake of Cyclone Nisarga, a look at major Cyclones that hit India in the past
Cyclone Nisarga to make a landfall near Mumbai on June 3
Cyclone Hud Hud